Red Kit · Independent Model Lab

Small models, hard constraints, honest evals.

We fine-tune and ship small local language models under real hardware and safety constraints — and publish what breaks along the way.

BRIEF · AUG 13 2026 RED KIT, THE COMPANY · RED (commercial) · BLUE (open source) ALL-IN ≈ $5.5K · MARGINAL RESEARCH SPEND ≈ $85

01 · What we're building

Red — an offline emergency first-aid and survival model for iPhone (12 GB), distilled from frontier teachers onto a 4B base, filtered through a safety pipeline we validate by audit. No connectivity, sub-second first tokens, App Store path kept legally clean from day one (redkit.ai secured). Blue — the open-source research line: a 35B-A3B mixture-of-experts fine-tuned for rare-knowledge retrieval over a self-hosted Wikipedia index (53M embedded chunks); candidate open release of weights plus training data plus methodology.

02 · Findings so far (11 logged; the six that matter)

Extreme quantization destroys rare facts specifically.
A 1.58-bit ternary 27B keeps general capability but drops to 4.3% on rare-fact recall vs 9–11% for its 4–8-bit relatives — a 2.2–2.5× gap hiding inside a "~5–14% retention loss" marketing number.
MoE knowledge density beats dense.
A 35B-total/3B-active MoE holds the most retrievable rare knowledge in our 9-model bake-off (16.5% SimpleQA-V vs 10.8% best dense) while inferring 3–5× faster.
Benchmark generations lie about knowledge.
The newer 27B posts higher MMLU than its predecessor and scores lower on rare facts. Base-model selection for knowledge products requires direct rare-fact evals; MMLU-class proxies actively mislead.
Honest-abstention protocols invert frontier-vs-local comparisons.
Given explicit permission to abstain, a frontier model scores 12.6% raw — below our local MoE — because it declines 71% of questions (and is right 43% when it answers). Public leaderboard numbers are substantially attempt-pressure artifacts.
"Faithful hallucination of priority" is a distinct safety failure mode.
Single-chunk-grounded teachers produce answers faithful to the source but wrong in clinical priority (folk remedy first, cool-water omitted). Faithfulness checkers pass them; only a priority-aware judge catches them — 28%→16.7% failure reduction after the fix. Faithfulness and safety-priority are orthogonal filters.
Model capability tiers are not totally ordered.
Under one validated rubric, teacher A leads on procedure ordering (2.2% fails), teacher B — at 2× the price — leads on faithfulness but matches the budget teacher on ordering. Attribute-level eval, not tier pricing, decides distillation spend.

03 · The model card — 9-model closed-book bake-off

ModelRare facts¹PopQAAbstains¹Right when answering²
Qwen3.6-35B-A3B MoE · Blue base16.5%28.3%18%47%
Claude Sonnet 5 · frontier reference12.6%37.8%71%66%
Qwen3.5-27B10.8%26.5%11%31%
Qwen3.6-27B · newer gen, 8-bit9.0%25.8%43%44%
Gemma 4 31B · Q87.4%18.1%23%45%
Qwen3.5-9B5.3%17.7%40%32%
Qwen3.5-4B · Red base4.5%17.0%2%17%
Ternary Bonsai 27B · 1.58-bit4.3%17.2%1%18%
Gemma 4 E2B QAT · Red fallback3.3%12.7%41%23%
Red 1 · the goal — 4B + distilled emergency corpus, on-device 0% refusals on legitimate emergencies · 100% safe-completion on harmful asks · ≥95% primary-steps-first (judged) · <1s first token on iPhone 17 Pro, offline

¹ SimpleQA-Verified, n=1000, closed book, explicit permission-to-abstain protocol. ² PopQA accuracy when the model attempts an answer. Red 1's exam is different by design: a 350-scenario emergency vignette bench (frozen pre-training, decontaminated) — rare-fact recall is Blue's mission, not Red's.

04 · Hardware reality

MacBook M3 Max · 48 GB
Eval bench + quantization lab. Shared with a day job — available evenings only; every long job fights a 6:30am clock-out.
RTX 4080 Super · 16 GB
Only trainable GPU. Caps local fine-tuning at ~4B QLoRA class; lives behind Windows/WSL whose VM lifecycle kills unattended jobs (documented, workaround pending).
Rented burst compute
RunPod per-campaign: community tier proved unreliable (phantom stock, no logs); secure datacenter tier works — $30–55 per embedding/training campaign.
Deploy target
iPhone 17 Pro, 12 GB — the real constraint shaping everything: model size, quantization tolerance (see finding 1), and thermal budget.
No always-on box
Nothing runs 24/7. Every experiment is orchestrated remotely across borrowed windows of uptime.

05 · The ledger — full cost recognition

ItemCostNature
MacBook M3 Max 48 GB$2,500capex · one-time, shared with day job
RTX 4080 Super rig$2,500capex · one-time, training + embedding
Network (WiFi antenna)$100capex
Brand — redkit.ai$1602-year registration
AI engineering (Claude subscription)$200/moopex · orchestration, research, code
API teachers + judges (all 11 findings)≈ $30marginal · Batch API, audited pipeline
GPU rentals (embedding fleet)≈ $55marginal · burst, auto-terminated
The headline: a 9-model closed-book bake-off with a frontier reference row, a 53M-chunk embedded Wikipedia corpus, a validated teacher-distillation pipeline (judge audited at 91% agreement), and 11 publishable findings — on ≈ $5.1K of one-time consumer hardware and ≈ $85 of marginal compute. The capital is reusable; the marginal cost of a finding is coffee money. Constraint isn't the obstacle; it's the research program.
Prepared Aug 13, 2026 · findings from the lab's research log (claim → evidence → caveats format) · numbers reproducible from frozen eval files and committed scorecards.